Silence, Interests, & Betrayal
Chapter 1 · Chronology

The Uprising.

Forty-seven years, in fourteen chapters of state violence — from the rooftop of Refah School to the streets of Rasht.

1979

Origin — the architecture of repression.

On the night of 15 February 1979, three days after Khomeini's return, four generals of the Shah's military were executed on the rooftop of Refah School in Tehran. They were tried by a one-man revolutionary court led by Sadegh Khalkhali, “the hanging judge.” Within ten months, the new state had executed over 500 people. The institutional shape of the Islamic Republic — revolutionary courts, the morality patrols, the IRGC, the death committees — was set in those first months.

Cited: Boroumand Center, Amnesty International (1980), Ervand Abrahamian, Tortured Confessions.

1981 — 1982

The reign of terror.

After the 20 June 1981 mass demonstration was crushed, the regime turned on the left, the Tudeh Party, independent leftist groups, and the Bahá'í community. Amnesty documented at least 2,946 executions in 1981 alone; the true figure is higher. Asadollah Lajevardi, prosecutor at Evin, became the architect of mass torture and execution. By 1982 most major opposition organizations had been decimated, their leaders killed, and their members forced underground or into exile.

Sources: Amnesty International, the Boroumand Center, Bahá'í International Community.

Summer 1988

The prison massacres.

Following Khomeini's secret fatwa in late July 1988, “death committees” at Evin, Gohardasht, and prisons across the country interrogated political prisoners — most already serving sentences — for minutes each. Those who failed to denounce their beliefs were hanged. Estimates range from 4,500 to over 30,000 executed across two months. Bodies were buried in unmarked mass graves at Khavaran and elsewhere; families to this day are forbidden from mourning their dead.

Grand Ayatollah Hossein-Ali Montazeri, then Khomeini's designated successor, opposed the killings: “The greatest crime in the Islamic Republic, for which history will condemn us, has been committed by your order.” He was removed from succession.

Sources: Amnesty: Blood-Soaked Secrets (2018), Iran Human Rights Documentation Center.

1998

The chain murders.

Between 1988 and 1998 dozens of dissidents, intellectuals, and writers were killed inside Iran by Ministry of Intelligence agents. The killings of Dariush Forouhar and Parvaneh Eskandari (22 November 1998), Mohammad Jafar Pouyandeh, and Mohammad Mokhtari finally forced an admission. The state's response was to identify a deputy minister, Saeed Emami, as “lead culprit”; he died in custody in 1999, officially of suicide by drinking hair-removal cream.

Sources: Boroumand Center, Akbar Ganji's reporting.

18 Tir 1378 — July 1999

The student uprising.

After the closure of Salam newspaper, students at Tehran University staged peaceful protests on 8 July 1999. That night, plainclothes Ansar-e-Hezbollah and Basij raided the dormitories. Students were thrown from upper floors. Six were officially confirmed dead; activists believe the toll was higher. Akbar Mohammadi, a student leader, died after years of torture in custody. The 18 Tir generation became the seed of two decades of student opposition.

Sources: Human Rights Watch, the Boroumand Center, CHRI.

2009

The Green Movement.

The disputed re-election of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on 12 June 2009 brought millions into the streets under the slogan “Where is my vote?” On 20 June 2009, twenty-six-year-old Neda Agha-Soltan was shot through the heart on Kargar Avenue in Tehran. The video of her death became one of the defining images of the digital age. At Kahrizak detention center, detainees including Mohsen Ruholamini, the son of a regime insider, were tortured to death. The crackdown that followed killed at least 72 people and jailed thousands.

Sources: Human Rights Watch (2009), Amnesty, NYT.

2017 — 2021

The years of bread and water.

From the December 2017 “Dey” protests through the labour strikes at Haft Tappeh, the Bloody November fuel-price uprising of 2019 (Amnesty: at least 304 protesters killed in less than a week, with internet blacked out), the downing of Ukraine International Airlines Flight PS752 by IRGC missiles on 8 January 2020 (176 killed, mostly Iranians and Iranian-Canadians), and the 2021 Khuzestan water protests, Iranians faced live fire in their own streets again and again. None of it shifted Western policy in any structural way.

Sources: Amnesty Bloody November dossier, Human Rights Watch, Reuters.

2022 — 2023

Woman, Life, Freedom.

On 13 September 2022, Mahsa Jina Amini, a 22-year-old Kurdish woman, was arrested by Tehran's Morality Police for an “improperly worn” hijab. She fell into a coma in custody and died on 16 September. The slogan from her funeral in Saqqez — Jin, Jiyan, Azadî — spread to more than 160 cities across Iran. Nika Shakarami (16), Sarina Esmailzadeh (16), Hadis Najafi (22), Kian Pirfalak (9), and hundreds more were killed by security forces. Schoolgirls in some 230 schools were poisoned with chemical agents. Mohsen Shekari (8 December 2022) and Majidreza Rahnavard (12 December 2022) were the first protesters publicly executed.

Narges Mohammadi, imprisoned in Evin, was awarded the 2023 Nobel Peace Prize. The UN Fact-Finding Mission documented crimes against humanity.

December 2025 — February 2026

The Crimson Winter.

The rial collapse to 150,000 tomans/dollar pulled the Tehran Grand Bazaar into open strike. Protests spread to more than 180 cities. On 8 January 2026 the regime issued an explicit order for full military suppression — the most intense crackdown in the Islamic Republic's history. The Rasht massacre alone killed at least 392, mostly after an internet blackout. Estimates of the total dead diverge wildly: the official Pezeshkian government count of 3,117, HRANA's verified Crimson Winter list of 7,007, leaked IRGC-Intelligence reports placing the toll at 33,000–36,500. On 11 February 2026 President Pezeshkian publicly apologised to the nation.

Sources: Wikipedia chronology, Amnesty, BBC, Al Jazeera.

28 February 2026

Operation Epic Fury — the war.

After negotiations failed, the United States and Israel launched a joint military campaign on Iran. ~900 strikes in the first 12 hours. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in the opening waves. Iran retaliated with hundreds of drones and ballistic missiles against Israel and US bases in the Gulf, and closed the Strait of Hormuz. Within sixty days the EU's fossil-fuel import bill rose by over €27 billion. Inside Iran, an internet blackout fell again; civilians from Sama, an engineer in Tehran, to Mina, a teacher, told the BBC that fear had displaced any earlier hope of intervention.

Sources: ISW, BBC, Britannica.

The dispute over the dead

How many died in the Crimson Winter?

The dispute itself is part of the historical record. We do not collapse it.

Government, 1 Feb 2026
3,117
Official Pezeshkian government count, including some 214 security forces.
Iran International, named
6,634
Independently compiled by the diaspora outlet; fewer than 100 names overlap with the government's list.
HRANA, verified · 23 Feb 2026
7,007
Confirmed deaths in The Crimson Winter: 6,488 protesters, 236 minors, 207 security personnel, 76 bystanders. 11,744 cases under review.
UN Special Rapporteur
20,000+
Stated by the Special Rapporteur on Human Rights in Iran on 22 January 2026.
TIME, 25 Jan 2026
30,304
Hospital deaths registered for 8–9 January 2026 alone, citing two senior Iranian officials. The administration “ran out of body bags.”
Leaked IRGC Intelligence
36,500
Internal IRGC Intelligence Organization reports of 22–24 January placed the toll at 33,000–36,500.
Names, not numbers

A small wall against forgetting.

A handful from many thousands. Each name is a sentence the regime tried to delete.

Mahsa Jina Amini
22 · Saqqez · Sept 2022 · custody
Neda Agha-Soltan
26 · Tehran · 20 Jun 2009 · shot
Nika Shakarami
16 · Tehran · Sept 2022 · killed
Sarina Esmailzadeh
16 · Karaj · Sept 2022 · beaten
Hadis Najafi
22 · Karaj · Sept 2022 · shot
Kian Pirfalak
9 · Izeh · Nov 2022 · shot
Mohsen Shekari
23 · Tehran · 8 Dec 2022 · executed
Majidreza Rahnavard
23 · Mashhad · 12 Dec 2022 · executed
Toomaj Salehi
rapper · imprisoned, sentenced
Narges Mohammadi
Nobel laureate · Evin Prison
Akbar Mohammadi
student · 18 Tir 1378 · died in custody
Mohsen Ruholamini
25 · Kahrizak · 2009 · tortured to death
Dariush Forouhar
writer · 22 Nov 1998 · chain murders
Parvaneh Eskandari
writer · 22 Nov 1998 · chain murders
Mohammad Mokhtari
poet · Dec 1998 · chain murders
Reza Azimzadeh
Malekshahi · Jan 2026 · Basij base
Taha Safari
16 · Azna · Jan 2026 · body withheld
Amirhossein Hatami
18 · April 2026 · executed
Bita Hemmati
first woman sentenced · 2026 protests
PS752 · 176 souls
8 Jan 2020 · downed by IRGC

… and the seven thousand HRANA verified, the thousands more whose names we do not know.